Opportunity amidst volatility over 2015

Arabia Monitor has teamed up with the Young Presidents Organisation (YPO) to analyse the quarterly Global Pulse data on Arab markets.

We find that the YPO Global Pulse Confidence Index narrowed from 62.5 points in Q4 2014 to 61.5 points in Q1 2015. In the same period, the MENA confidence index dipped slightly due to regional turmoil and falling oil prices.

Regional views are thematic papers aimed at identifying and analysing factors behind medium to long-term economic trends shaping the region. Our analysis draws conclusions that help businesses and investors get ahead of the curve. As a firm staffed by Middle Easterners, we focus on insight rather than standard analysis.

As usual, changes in business confidence at the country level were varied. Increased optimism amongst CEOs in the main oil-exporting nations, including Qatar and Kuwait, contributed to the moderate uplift in regional sentiment. We explore the reasons for cautious but high optimism in Saudi Arabia. Nations where optimism eroded included Lebanon.

We answer questions such as:

  • What are the potential threats/opportunities?
  • Who were the top performers in MENA in the Sales, Fixed Investment and Employee Count Indices? What factors drove such performances?
  • In which countries do executives see the greatest opportunities going forward this year?

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